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A free, stable platform illustrating “microprediction” (long story or tldr). Go to setup to participate in seconds.

1. Turnkey live prediction (» publishing docs »)

The streams at microprediction.org are all created by people who repeatedly publish ground truths. Algorithms poll these streams and the ongoing battles produce beautiful community cumulative distribution functions, such as the CDF representing the 1-hour ahead forecasts of the logarithm of META price changes. You can create your own stream by:

2. Turnkey benchmarking (» prediction docs »)

On the other hand, you can easily test distributional time-series prediction algorithms by:

There are rewards for good prediction determined daily.

Not to be overlooked:

To chase the daily $125 prize for prediction, it is suggested that you join the slack or Friday meet so we can help you get started.

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Documentation map

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