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|The act of making repeated predictions of the same thing frequently enough for autonomous assessment to be meaningful
|A python class for predicting multiple streams using a long-running single process
|A list of 225 monte carlo samples indicative of the distribution of a future measurement. Aka stochastic information packet.
|Refers to the making of predictions in an online fashion. Applies to both time-series methods in the timemachines package, and also the StreamSkater crawler.
|Cumulative distribution. Usually that implied by all the predictions contributed to a given forecast horizon. See any page such as faang1&horizon=3555.
|See daily prize
|When predictions are made a horizon (also called delay) is specified. The ground truth is the first data point to be published after the delay has elapsed
|See horizon. Delays are 70, 310, 910 or 3555 seconds.
|To send a scalar value to the microprediction system repeatedly, thereby creating a stream
|A live time-series of scalar values that is subject to distributional prediction. See the stream listing
|Refers to scheduled publishing, often using the MicroPoll class.
|Used in publishing changes of live quantities, or transforms of the same, using MultiChangePoll or similar.
|The distributional transform implied by (most of the) community predictions for pertaining to a particular horizon.
|Streams of zscores
|In mathematics, a multivariate distribution with uniform margins. Here it usually refers to refers to z2~ or z3~ streams and their predictions. These are streams that are the result of merging two or three distributional transforms using a space-filling curve
|A map from the one dimension to two or three. See copulas
|A private unique identifier. See writekeys
|The number of recognizable characters beginning a public key. See writekeys
|The hash of a private key. See writekeys
|Synonym for public key. See writekeys
|memorable unique identifier
|A synonym for private unique identifier. See writekeys
|To create a new write key by trial and error. See writekeys
|When the balance associated with a write key falls below a threshold negative number
|To move balance from one write key to another
|A hosted Python notebook environment provided by Google. See New_Key for example.
|A chat service. See slack for invite.
|A scalar value sent to microprediction, to serve as a target. See publish
|To send 225 scalars to microprediction. See predict
|Usually refers to the microprediction python package
|Usually refers to leaderboards shown at microprediction.org
|Refers to microprediction.org.
|Refers to microprediction.org after you paste a write key in to see their performance and transactions.
|Refers to recent values of streams. See predict-using-python for usage example.
|Streams prefixed by z1~. See zscores
|Streams prefixed by z2~. See copulas
|Streams prefixed by z3~. See copulas
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